Commentary: Election muddies India’s outlook
By Prakash Sakpal in Singapore
Conditions are becoming murky in the lead up to India’s general election in May. Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s popularity is falling, and the losses of his BJP in state assembly and other by-elections dim his prospects for a clear win. The government’s drive to boost growth has shifted economic policies into an expansionary mode.
Last October the RBI moved its policy stance to ‘calibrated tightening’, citing sustained inflation risks. The events since, especially after the resignation of Governor Urjit Patel, shift the bias towards easing.
Read the full commentary on the website.
Report: The rise of central bank gold demand
Heightened geopolitical risks have contributed to renewed interest in its ‘safe asset’ quality. Prospects of rising inflation in the US and elsewhere could spur further demand.
Download the report from the website.