
And what will that do for tanker demand?
The US Transportation Security Administration (TSA) says that it expects record levels of arrivals into the US for Independence Day this year. It estimates that 2.82 million travellers arrived in the US last Friday and that 17.7 million will arrive over the week starting last Friday. The previous peak Independence Day arrival number was 2.79 million in 2019 before the pandemic.
“Despite the uncertain economic signals, demand for air travel continues to be strong across the globe and particularly in the Asia-Pacific region. The industry is now just about 15% below 2019 levels of demand and that gap is narrowing each month,” said Willie Walsh, IATA’s Director General.
Jet fuel demand in the US looks like it may recover its previous peak of 1.74 Mn bpd in 2019 either this year or next year. In its latest report, the IEA says that jet fuel use “is unlikely to surpass its 2019 peak until 2027, when demand will exceed 7.2 Mn bpd.” The IEA notes that “environmental regulations and commitments, combined with changing consumer behaviour, will also weigh on demand.”
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