An assessment of the economic impact of the president elect’s policy proposals
Trump in stronger position than at start of first term in 2017
Markets currently betting on higher US inflation and Fed interest rate path
Has proposed a more protectionist trade policy, closely associated with the “America First” agenda
Promised stricter immigration policy, to protect American jobs, reduce illegal immigration, and strengthen national security
President elect has proposed a more expansionary fiscal policy; seen as a boost to GDP growth, while concerns about US long-term fiscal sustainability might intensify
Wants European countries to take on more responsibility for Ukraine defence, raise their own defence spending
Rollback of environmental regulation could lead to more oil and gas production
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