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Dr. Platon Monokroussos, Chief Market Economist, Deputy General Manager, Eurobank Ergasias S.A.
Promising regional macroeconomic outlook in 2016
REGIONAL MACROECONOMIC DEVELOPMENTS & OUTLOOK
- Strong GDP growth readings in Q3 2015 confirmed
- Regional economies supported by accommodative monetary policies, improved absorption of EU funds and low world commodity prices
- Regional economies winners in the emerging market space in 2015; promising macroeconomic outlook in 2016
REGIONAL MARKET DEVELOPMENTS & OUTLOOK
- Global emerging stock markets poised to end 2015 deep in the red; CESEE and regional bourses fare better thanks to ECB’s accommodative monetary policy
- Regional currencies under pressure so far this year on Central Bank monetary easing
- Regional government bonds favoured by globally subdued inflationary pressures and low interest rates
COUNTRY FOCUS
- Bulgaria: Strong growth performance expected to continue in 2016
- Cyprus: Growth to gain further momentum in 2016
- Romania: Fiscal stimulus supports the growth outlook of 2016
- Serbia: GDP growth to recover further in 2016
Regional GDP growth dynamics to accelerate in 2016
Source: Bloomberg, Reuters, National Authorities, European Commission, Eurobank Research
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REGIONAL MONTHLY DECEMBER 2015
