Home Banking Regional Economics and Market Strategy Monthly (Wednesday, April 12, 2017)

Regional Economics and Market Strategy Monthly (Wednesday, April 12, 2017)

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Regional growth momentum sustained in Q1-2017
REGIONAL MACROECONOMIC & MARKET DEVELOPMENTS & OUTLOOK
 Q4-2016 second GDP estimates confirm that the economies of the region are in good shape
 Growth momentum in the region sustained in Q1-2017
 Sentiment indicators on an upward trend despite local political uncertainties and temporary food & energy driven inflation spike
 Most emerging market assets end Q1 2017 in the black
 Regional bourses firm in line with the move higher in emerging and major global stock markets
 CESEE currencies remain range-bound, with idiosyncratic factors setting the tone in several cases
 Despite several political risk events already being behind us, French & German elections lure market attention; major CB policies remain in the forefront

COUNTRY FOCUS
 Bulgaria: GERB wins early parliamentary elections
 Cyprus: Inflation jump in February
 Romania: Focus shifts to budget execution risks
 Serbia: Prime Minister Vucic wins decisive victory in April’s presidential elections

 

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