Risk at sea in the regions near Hormuz, Bab el-Mandeb, the Red Sea, and the Black Sea remains high, causing disruptions to trade and energy security and affecting port operations and shipping routes. Missile attacks and drone strikes in Yemen, as well as attacks by Russia and Ukraine against shipping and coastal infrastructure, increase the need for voyage planning.
News finds this week (top three most important)
Red Sea: Houthi missile and drone attacks shut down Mocha port activity, creating danger for shipping through the strait Bab el-Mandeb. Hormuz-Bab el-Mandeb: Detouring tankers is causing longer journeys and higher energy transport costs. Baltic/Black Sea: The attack on the Ust-Luga port by a drone highlights the increasing hazards and risks to port energy infrastructure.
Corporate conclusions
Maritime operating risk remains elevated across the Red Sea, Hormuz and Baltic/Black Sea corridors, driven by conflict-related port attacks, tanker rerouting and energy-infrastructure exposure. Operators should maintain enhanced voyage-risk monitoring, routing flexibility and port-security contingency measures, based on detailed threat and risk assessments.
The observer perspective – coming week
High risks will persist in the Strait of Hormuz, given the attacks on tankers and uncertainty, which have led to a decline in traffic. Delays, rerouting, and higher shipping costs are expected. The Bab el-Mandeb and Red Sea continue to be at risk of Houthi missiles and drones, including risks posed to ships and ports after the suspension of Mocha. The Baltic region saw an attack on Ust-Luga, confirming a high risk of drones targeting energy infrastructure, without however affecting oil export operations.
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